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Research ArticleOriginal Article
Open Access

A long-term broadcast ephemeris model for extended operation of GNSS satellites

Oliver Montenbruck, Peter Steigenberger and Moritz Aicher
NAVIGATION: Journal of the Institute of Navigation March 2021, 68 (1) 199-215; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/navi.404
Oliver Montenbruck
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), German Space Operations Center (GSOC), 82234 Weßling, Germany
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  • For correspondence: [email protected]
Peter Steigenberger
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), German Space Operations Center (GSOC), 82234 Weßling, Germany
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Moritz Aicher
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), German Space Operations Center (GSOC), 82234 Weßling, Germany
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  • FIGURE 1
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    FIGURE 1

    Variation of Galileo orbit prediction errors in radial (left) and along-track direction (right) using high-fidelity models in the orbit determination and prediction. The graphs show the distribution (median and 5th/95th percentile) of the constellation-wide RMS error at the 𝑛-th day of prediction over 180 solutions for the six-month test period

  • FIGURE 2
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    FIGURE 2

    Numerical integration error of Galileo orbits using the fifth-order Dormand-Prince method at 200 s step size over a 14-day arc without shadow boundary handling during the eclipse period of orbital plane C

  • FIGURE 3
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    FIGURE 3

    Clock prediction of a Galileo satellite with Rb clock (top) and satellites with H-maser (bottom) based on second- and first-order clock polynomials adjusted over two days. Individual satellites are distinguished by different colors

  • FIGURE 4
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    FIGURE 4

    Clock drift variation of Galileo satellites over the six-month test period

  • FIGURE 5
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    FIGURE 5

    Variation of Galileo clock offset prediction errors. The graph shows the distribution (median and 5th/95th percentile) of the constellation-wide RMS error at the 𝑛-th day of prediction over 180 solutions for the six-month test period excluding individual clock offset errors larger than 100 m

  • FIGURE 6
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    FIGURE 6

    Variation of Galileo orbit prediction errors in radial (left) and along-track direction (right) using the tailored models of Tables 1 and 2 in the orbit determination and prediction. The graph shows the distribution (median and 5th/95th percentile) of the constellation-wide RMS error at the 𝑛-th day of prediction over 180 solutions for the six-month test period

  • FIGURE 7
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    FIGURE 7

    Evolution of Galileo global average RMS SISRE using the tailored models of Tables 1 and 2 in the orbit determination and prediction

  • FIGURE 8
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    FIGURE 8

    Evolution of SIS-related single-point positioning errors for different forecast periods. The graph shows the distribution (median and 5th/95th percentile) of the 3D RMS position error at the 𝑛-th day of prediction over 180 solutions for the six-month test period

Tables

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    TABLE 1

    Processing standards for Galileo orbit determination and prediction

    Data, models, algorithmsPreciseTailored
    ObservationsDual-frequency code and phase observations from 80 globally distributed monitoring stations of the International GNSS Service (IGS; Johnston et al., 2017)Cartesian satellite positions
    Data arc3 d2 d
    Sampling5 min5 min
    Reference frame transformationsIAU2006/2000 precession/nutation (Petit & Luzum, 2010); USNO Δ UT1, estimated LOD and polar motion, linear predictionIAU 1976 precession, IAU 1980 nutation (106 terms) and sidereal time (Seidelmann, 2006); IGS Earth orientation parameters (linear extrapolation)
    Earth gravityEIGEN-05C (12 × 12; Förste et al., 2008), solid Earth and pole tides (IERS Conventions 2010, Petit & Luzum, 2010), ocean tides (FES2004; Lyard et al., 2006), post-Newtonian relativity approximation (IERS Conventions 2010, Petit & Luzum, 2010)GGM01S model (9 × 9), k2 tides (Rizos & Stolz, 1985), no relativity
    Third-body perturbationsSun, Moon, all planets, Pluto; DE405 (Standish, 1998)Sun and Moon; analytical series truncated to 5″ and 2″ (Montenbruck & Pfleger, 2000)
    Radiation pressure5-param. ECOM-1 model (estimated; Beutler et al., 1994) with a priori box-wing-model (Steigenberger & Montenbruck, 2017); conical Earth and Moon shadow; Earth radiation pressure (Springer, 2009); antenna thrust (Steigenberger et al., 2018)3-param. ECOM-1 model (estimated; Beutler et al., 1994) with a priori 2-param. cuboid model (Montenbruck et al., 2015); conical Earth and Moon shadow
    Numerical integration8th-order Adams-Bashforth-Moulton multi-step predictor-corrector method with 8th-order Runge-Kutta starting step (Springer, 2009); shadow boundary handling5th-order Dormand-Prince Runge-Kutta method (Dormand & Prince, 1980) with 4th-order interpolant (Hairer et al., 1987); optional shadow boundary handling
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    TABLE 2

    Performance comparison of model options. Peak errors in 14-day prediction arcs following a two-day orbit determination have been evaluated for eight test dates spread over a three-month period. Median and maximum errors over the tests are provided for various forms of simplifications relative to a comprehensive reference along with the approximate reduction in computational load. Models marked by a × symbol are recommended for use in the long-term propagator

    ModelRecommendedOptionPeak error median/max [m]Runtime reduction [%]
    NutationIAU980 (106 terms)(ref)
    ×49 terms > 0.0005″3.4 / 21–1
    18 terms > 0.005″23/85–2
    EOPsObserved(ref)
    ×Extrapolated34/59–2
    Earth gravity12 × 12 model(ref)
    10 × 10 model0.1 / 0.1–4
    ×9 ×9 model0.3 / 0.3–5
    RelativitySchwarzschild correction(ref)
    ×neglected2.6/7.8–1
    TidesSolid Earth(ref)
    ×k2 tide0.5 / 2.4–5
    none34 / 74–8
    Sun positionfull series(ref)
    ×terms > 5″3.7 / 5.0–4
    Keplerian13/29–11
    Moon positionfull series(ref)
    ×terms > 2″6.1 / 47–7
    terms > 10″39 / 260–8
    Recommended (×)32/62–25
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    TABLE 3

    Cuboid box-wing model parameters for Galileo satellites

    ParameterValue [nm/s2]
    Cubic body accelerationaC+14.5
    Stretching parameteraS+5.0
    Solar panel accelerationasp+87.0
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    TABLE 4

    Peak orbit propagation errors (3D, in m) over two weeks for different integration methods, step sizes, and shadow boundary handling

    Step [s]RK4RDP5Notes
    withoutwithwithoutwith
    boundary handlingboundary handling
    500.70.60.1(ref)
    10019190.50.5
    1501401405.82.9
    2006105909.812All satellites
    2.52.5Plane A and B
    4.42.6Plane C
    9.812E14/E18
    250--3734
    300--8482
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    TABLE 5

    Peak orbit propagation errors (3D, in m) over two weeks after a two-day orbit determination for different integration methods, step sizes, and shadow boundary handling

    Step [s]RK4RDP5Notes
    withoutwithwithoutwith
    boundary handlingboundary handling
    502.40.30.5(ref)
    100214.74.00.3
    15011037150.8
    2001300156352.6All satellites
    0.10.1Plane A and B
    352.6Plane C
    340.7E14/E18
    250--628.5
    300--12022
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    TABLE 6

    Long-term orbit propagator parameters and recommended numerical representation. The number of bits in column 4 refers to a single parameter of the specified type. Depending on the parameter generation process, common epochs may be adopted for EOP and orbit/clock parameters to reduce the total amount of data transmitted to the user

    ParameterUnitNo. of bitsLSB
    EpochWeop13
    teop[s]83600
    Pole offsetxp, yp[″]212–20
    ẋp, ẏp[″/d]152–21
    UT1R offsetΔUT1R[s]312–24
    ΔUṪ1R[s/d]192–25
    Total EOPs143
    EpochWoe = Woc13
    toe = toc[s]83600
    Epoch positionX, y, z[m]342–8
    Epoch velocityẋ, ẏ, ż[m/s]342–21
    Empirical accels.D0, Y0, Embedded Image[nm/s2]132–9
    Clockao[s]272–30
    a1[s/s]252–50
    a2[s/s2]172–70
    Total per satellite333
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    TABLE 7

    Execution time for 14 d orbit prediction of a single GNSS satellite on two different processors for embedded systems

    ProcessorFrequencyTime
    ARM Cortex A9800 MHz9 s
    ARM1176JZF-S700 MHz30 s
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NAVIGATION: Journal of the Institute of Navigation: 68 (1)
NAVIGATION: Journal of the Institute of Navigation
Vol. 68, Issue 1
Spring 2021
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A long-term broadcast ephemeris model for extended operation of GNSS satellites
Oliver Montenbruck, Peter Steigenberger, Moritz Aicher
NAVIGATION: Journal of the Institute of Navigation Mar 2021, 68 (1) 199-215; DOI: 10.1002/navi.404

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A long-term broadcast ephemeris model for extended operation of GNSS satellites
Oliver Montenbruck, Peter Steigenberger, Moritz Aicher
NAVIGATION: Journal of the Institute of Navigation Mar 2021, 68 (1) 199-215; DOI: 10.1002/navi.404
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  • Article
    • Abstract
    • 1 INTRODUCTION
    • 2 GALILEO ORBIT PREDICTION
    • 3 TAILORED MODEL FOR NUMERICAL ORBIT PREDICTION
    • 4 CLOCK PREDICTION
    • 5 PERFORMANCE CHARACTERIZATION
    • 6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
    • HOW TO CITE THIS ARTICLE
    • ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
    • REFERENCES
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Keywords

  • autonomy
  • broadcast ephemeris
  • Earth orientation parameters
  • force model
  • GNSS
  • orbit prediction
  • SISRE

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